SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
73.24% ( 0.98) | 15.41% ( -0.41) | 11.36% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.28% ( 0.45) | 29.72% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.15% ( 0.54) | 50.85% ( -0.54) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.01% ( 0.29) | 6.99% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.4% ( 0.78) | 25.6% ( -0.78) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( -0.6) | 37.85% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.37% ( -0.59) | 74.63% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.09)6-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.19% Total : 73.24% | 1-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.41% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.7% Total : 11.36% |
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