SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
46.23% ( 0.26) | 24.1% ( 0) | 29.67% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 58.53% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( -0.17) | 43.62% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% ( -0.17) | 66.02% ( 0.17) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( 0.04) | 19.03% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( 0.07) | 50.61% ( -0.07) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.27) | 27.71% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( -0.34) | 63.27% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.67% |
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