SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 56.11%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Young Boys |
56.11% ( -0.24) | 21.55% ( 0.06) | 22.34% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.16% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.79% ( -0.05) | 38.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.51% ( -0.05) | 60.48% ( 0.06) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( -0.09) | 13.54% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.37% ( -0.18) | 40.62% ( 0.18) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( 0.13) | 30.41% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( 0.15) | 66.61% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 22.34% |
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