SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Young Boys |
45.6% ( -0.09) | 23.65% ( 0.01) | 30.74% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.73% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59% ( -0.02) | 41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( -0.01) | 63.39% ( 0.02) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( -0.04) | 18.25% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.7% ( -0.08) | 49.29% ( 0.08) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( 0.04) | 25.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( 0.06) | 60.62% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 45.6% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.74% |
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