SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Everton |
36.2% ( 1.7) | 23% ( -0.18) | 40.8% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 65.17% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.98% ( 1.26) | 36.02% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.88% ( 1.37) | 58.12% ( -1.37) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( 1.44) | 20.32% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% ( 2.24) | 52.7% ( -2.24) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0.12) | 18.22% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% ( -0.2) | 49.24% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.8% Total : 40.8% |
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