SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Bournemouth |
33.84% ( 0.89) | 22.44% ( 0.2) | 43.72% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 66.71% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.25% ( -0.66) | 33.76% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.41% ( -0.75) | 55.59% ( 0.76) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 0.15) | 20.47% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( 0.24) | 52.94% ( -0.23) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( -0.66) | 16.12% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.46% ( -1.22) | 45.55% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.09)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.76% Total : 43.72% |
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