SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
40.39% ( -0.09) | 24.99% ( 0.02) | 34.62% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( -0.08) | 45.85% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( -0.07) | 68.17% ( 0.08) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( -0.08) | 22.6% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( -0.12) | 56.21% ( 0.12) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0) | 25.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( 0.01) | 60.61% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.62% |
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