Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Lorient
57.48% ( -0.66)	21.59% ( 0.14)	20.93% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.77% (

0.08)

40.23% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.4% (

0.08)

62.6% (

-0.07)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21% (

-0.17)

13.79% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.88% (

-0.35)

41.12% (

0.36)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

0.55)

32.83% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

0.6)

69.4% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Lyon 57.48%

Lorient 20.93%

Draw 21.59%

Lyon	Draw	Lorient
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 57.48%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.59%	1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.93%