SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Lille | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Lorient | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Montpellier HSC | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Lens | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Lyon | 5 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Lille | 6 | 0 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
28.06% ( 0.06) | 24.66% ( 0.05) | 47.28% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( -0.16) | 47.06% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.15) | 69.3% ( 0.15) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( -0.04) | 30.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.17% ( -0.04) | 66.83% ( 0.04) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.11) | 19.97% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.86% ( -0.18) | 52.14% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.06% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.28% |
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