Whilst the hosts come into the match on the back of a positive result and the visitors on a poor one, we are backing Lyon to bounce back and secure all three points in what should be a tight game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Lyon
26.12%	25.53%	48.36%

Both teams to score 51.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03%

51.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29%

73.71%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28%

34.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.56%

71.44%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49%

21.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.44%

54.56%

Score Analysis

Lorient 26.12%

Lyon 48.35%

Draw 25.52%

Lorient	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.12%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 4.78% 0-3 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.37% Total : 48.35%