Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Magdeburg | Draw | Nuremberg |
52.5% ( 0.92) | 21.41% ( -0.29) | 26.08% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 65.28% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.53% ( 0.86) | 33.47% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.73% ( 0.98) | 55.27% ( -0.97) |
Magdeburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.96% ( 0.59) | 13.04% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.39% ( 1.18) | 39.61% ( -1.17) |
Nuremberg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.07% ( 0.03) | 24.92% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% ( 0.04) | 59.55% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Magdeburg | Draw | Nuremberg |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 52.51% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.08% |
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