SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.96%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mali in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mali.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | South Africa |
70.95% ( -0.05) | 19.23% ( 0.04) | 9.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.51% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% ( -0.12) | 51.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( -0.11) | 73.68% ( 0.11) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( -0.05) | 13.43% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.61% ( -0.11) | 40.39% ( 0.11) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.48% ( -0.05) | 55.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.81% ( -0.03) | 88.19% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mali | Draw | South Africa |
| 2-0 @ 15.02% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 70.93% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.23% | 0-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.59% 0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 9.81% |
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