SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.43%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | South Sudan |
74.25% ( -0.51) | 17.16% ( 0.28) | 8.59% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 39.91% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( -0.47) | 47.06% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.44) | 69.3% ( 0.43) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.92% ( -0.26) | 11.09% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.53% ( -0.58) | 35.47% ( 0.58) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.89% ( 0.23) | 55.11% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.05% ( 0.14) | 87.95% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mali | Draw | South Sudan |
| 2-0 @ 14.77% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 74.23% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.16% | 0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.48% Total : 8.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
