Mallorca will be looking to make full use of home advantage, having lost just one of their 11 competitive home matches this season.
While we think that the hosts could frustrate Girona during periods of the contest, we expect the visitors to draw upon their attacking firepower to claim a narrow win and advance to the semi-finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.13) 
