Mallorca will be aiming to make it back-to-back home wins over Girona, but the Pirates have struggled of late, and we are finding it difficult to back either with any real confidence on Saturday, instead predicting a low-scoring draw at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.