Considering Sturm Graz will still be adjusting to life without Ilzer, it would not be surprising if they struggled on Wednesday without the guidance of a permanent manager.
Additionally, Girona are in good goalscoring form, and they could create several opportunities in the final third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
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