Both La Liga matches between the two sides last season finished level, and we can see another stalemate here. Mallorca have home advantage, but Arrasate's team will be missing a number of key players, and we are expecting Valencia to be good enough to claim a point on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.15) 
