Three of the last four La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are expecting another draw here. Athletic are a quality outfit, but Mallorca have been very impressive this season, and we are finding it very difficult to separate the two sides on Monday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 35.29%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.14) 
-0.32) 
