SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Liechtenstein |
58.33% ( 29.36) | 24.01% ( -3.62) | 17.66% ( -25.74) |
| Both teams to score 44.88% ( -2.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% ( 3.52) | 54.81% ( -3.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( 2.83) | 76.11% ( -2.83) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( 17.23) | 18.61% ( -17.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.1% ( 22.71) | 49.89% ( -22.72) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.14% ( -18.2) | 44.85% ( 18.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.18% ( -18.92) | 80.81% ( 18.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% ( 4.23) 2-0 @ 11.8% ( 6.77)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 2.81)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 4.9)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 3.03)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 2.34)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 1.65)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.62)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.84)Other @ 3.04% Total : 58.32% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -1.71) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -1.21)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.6)Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -5.93) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -4.06)0-2 @ 2.68% ( -5.67)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -2.57)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.92)Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.66% |
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