SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | West Ham United |
75.26% ( -0.11) | 14.24% ( 0.06) | 10.49% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.8% ( -0.13) | 26.2% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.53% ( -0.17) | 46.46% ( 0.17) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.16% ( -0.05) | 5.84% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.57% ( -0.13) | 22.42% ( 0.13) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( -0.01) | 36.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( -0) | 73.47% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.18% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 4.43% Total : 75.26% | 1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 14.24% | 1-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.49% |
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