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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 31.23% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester City |
31.23% ( 0.84) | 22.58% ( 0.19) | 46.19% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 65% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.49% ( -0.48) | 35.51% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.54) | 57.56% ( 0.54) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( 0.25) | 22.72% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( 0.37) | 56.39% ( -0.37) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% ( -0.55) | 15.89% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.89% ( -1.03) | 45.11% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.23% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.19% |
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