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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
WH

Southampton
vs.
West Ham

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, December 22 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League

We say: Southampton 1-1 West Ham United

Not since 2015 have West Ham fallen to defeat against the team starting the day at the bottom of the Premier League table, and while that trend should continue on Boxing Day, Lopetegui's men may have to be content with just the one point. Missing two of their principle attacking threats in Antonio and Paqueta, the Irons will have their work cut out against a Saints backline that has been shored up since Russell Martin's exit, and Juric's Premier League tenure appears destined to begin with a low-scoring stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a West Ham United win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 32.78% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.98%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Southampton win is 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.41%).

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Ham United
32.78% (0.441 0.44) 22.25% (0.038 0.04) 44.97% (-0.47900000000001 -0.48)
Both teams to score 67.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.85% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.15% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.1% (-0.012 -0.01)54.9% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (0.229 0.23)20.73% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (0.358 0.36)53.36% (-0.362 -0.36)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.58% (-0.179 -0.18)15.42% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.75% (-0.334 -0.33)44.25% (0.332 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 32.78%
    West Ham United 44.97%
    Draw 22.25%
SouthamptonDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.062 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 32.78%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.92% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.48% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 44.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fulham 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, December 22 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-5 Chelsea
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Southampton
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham
Monday, December 16 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-1 Wolves
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 3-1 West Ham
Tuesday, December 3 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-5 Arsenal
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 West Ham
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in Premier League


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