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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
London Stadium
MC

West Ham
1 - 3
Man City

Ward-Prowse (36')
Alvarez (38'), Soucek (79'), Paqueta (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Doku (46'), Silva (76'), Haaland (86')
Gvardiol (45+2'), Rodri (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawManchester City
20.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 22.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 56.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)45.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)35.82% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)72.59% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 20.89%
    Manchester City 56.37%
    Draw 22.72%
West Ham UnitedDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 5.85%
2-1 @ 5.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.89%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-2 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 6.06%
0-3 @ 5.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 2.78%
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.43%
1-5 @ 1.02%
0-5 @ 1%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 56.37%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Chelsea
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 West Ham
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 29 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-2 Man City
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Newcastle
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Sevilla (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 16 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup
Last Game: Burnley 0-3 Man City
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Man City (4-1 pen.)
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Community Shield


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