SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 83.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 4-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
83.52% ( -0.2) | 10.56% ( 0.1) | 5.91% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.71% ( -0.08) | 24.28% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.02% ( -0.11) | 43.98% ( 0.1) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.84% ( -0.04) | 4.16% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.62% ( -0.14) | 17.38% ( 0.13) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.5% ( 0.23) | 45.49% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.67% ( 0.18) | 81.33% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 3-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.4% Total : 83.52% | 1-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 10.56% | 1-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 5.91% |
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