Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mantova would win this match.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Salernitana
48.98% ( 1.02)	24.03% ( -0.12)	26.98% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 56.78% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

-0.11)

45.04% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

-0.11)

67.39% (

0.1)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

0.37)

18.48% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.31% (

0.61)

49.69% (

-0.61)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65% (

-0.73)

30.35% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

-0.88)

66.54% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Mantova 48.98%

Salernitana 26.98%

Draw 24.03%

Mantova	Draw	Salernitana
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.98%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.06% Total : 26.98%