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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marine AFC | Draw | Chester FC |
31.27% ( 0.02) | 27.61% ( -0.01) | 41.12% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.13% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.54% ( 0.04) | 57.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% ( 0.03) | 78.26% ( -0.03) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( 0.03) | 33.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( 0.04) | 70.29% ( -0.03) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( 0.02) | 27.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( 0.02) | 62.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marine AFC | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.12% |
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