Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%).
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