SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
39.57% ( -0.89) | 23.29% ( -0) | 37.13% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.63% ( 0.12) | 37.37% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.41% ( 0.13) | 59.59% ( -0.13) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( -0.35) | 19.33% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.9% ( -0.57) | 51.1% ( 0.57) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( 0.49) | 20.47% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% ( 0.77) | 52.94% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.37% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.02% Total : 37.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
