SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
47.7% ( 0.01) | 24.17% ( 0) | 28.13% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% ( -0.01) | 44.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.79% ( -0.01) | 67.21% ( 0.01) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% | 18.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% ( -0) | 50.42% ( -0) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.02) | 29.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.6% ( -0.02) | 65.4% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.27% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.13% |
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