Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.