Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.