SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mazatlan | Draw | Tigres |
33.53% ( 2.22) | 25.9% ( 0.69) | 40.57% ( -2.9) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( -1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -2.28) | 50.1% ( 2.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -2.07) | 72.07% ( 2.07) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( 0.31) | 28.4% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( 0.38) | 64.15% ( -0.38) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( -2.41) | 24.39% ( 2.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( -3.53) | 58.8% ( 3.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mazatlan | Draw | Tigres |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.85) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.53% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.48)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.42)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.29)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.57% |
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