SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
15.15% ( -0.01) | 20.26% ( -0.02) | 64.59% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( 0.07) | 43.9% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( 0.07) | 66.28% ( -0.06) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.45% ( 0.03) | 41.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.95% ( 0.02) | 78.05% ( -0.02) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( 0.03) | 12.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.8% ( 0.06) | 39.21% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.22% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.67% Total : 15.15% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.27% | 0-2 @ 11.24% 0-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.69% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.62% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 64.58% |
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