SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
48.05% ( -0.06) | 23.7% ( 0.02) | 28.25% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.35% ( -0.09) | 42.64% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% ( -0.09) | 65.05% ( 0.09) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( -0.06) | 17.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.27% ( -0.1) | 48.73% ( 0.1) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( -0.02) | 28.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( -0.03) | 63.88% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.25% |
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