SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
35.18% ( 0.81) | 26.32% ( 0.18) | 38.5% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% ( -0.66) | 51.63% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( -0.57) | 73.41% ( 0.58) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.18) | 28.12% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( 0.22) | 63.79% ( -0.22) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( -0.84) | 26.19% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.71% ( -1.14) | 61.28% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.5% |
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