Rennes have won all of the last six meetings between these two teams, scoring at least three in all of the past four, and we expect that to continue with a 3-1 victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.34) 
