Both teams have a lot to play for, so we expect to see a tight defensive showdown, which should favour the visitors, who have only gone pointless twice this year in domestic fixtures decided by a goal or fewer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Lens
24.63% ( 0)	26.51%	48.86%

Both teams to score 47.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26%

56.74% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31%

77.69% (

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.38% (

38.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.64%

75.36% (

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72%

23.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.78%

57.22% (

Score Analysis

Metz 24.63%

Lens 48.86%

Draw 26.5%

Metz	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.93% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.37% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.63%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 13.1% 0-2 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-3 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.69% 1-4 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.86%