Even though Toulouse are Rennes' second-favourite opponent in Ligue 1 in the 21st century after Nantes, Saturday's game between a club with four wins in five in recent home games against a side that have claimed four victories from five road matches points to a close encounter with both teams cancelling each other out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
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