SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Uruguay |
46.98% ( 0.56) | 26.75% ( -0.23) | 26.28% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 47.81% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.49% ( 0.63) | 56.52% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.5% ( 0.5) | 77.51% ( -0.5) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0.54) | 24.06% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( 0.77) | 58.34% ( -0.76) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( 0.06) | 37.05% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% ( 0.06) | 73.84% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.97% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.28% |
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