SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Uruguay |
39.89% ( 0.38) | 25.49% ( -0.26) | 34.63% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( 1.11) | 48.09% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.75% ( 1.01) | 70.25% ( -1.01) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.69) | 23.84% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.97% ( 0.98) | 58.03% ( -0.98) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( 0.46) | 26.75% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.98% ( 0.6) | 62.02% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.89% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.63% |
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