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MN
Friendlies 1
Dec 17, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca
CN
Mexico
2 - 3
Colombia
Govea (40'), Martinez (50')
Gonzalez (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reyes (55'), Martinez (69'), Gomez (90+2')
Vera (61'), Martinez (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Honduras (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 22 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 0-1 Colombia

Neither side will have the best players on the field, but we do not believe the solid Colombian defence will be bothered by an inexperienced and unproven group of Mexican attackers. A quality striker like Cucho Hernandez could make the difference this weekend for Colombia, which have faced much stronger opponents lately and got results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawColombia
47.84% (-0.403 -0.4) 27.27% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 24.88% (0.317 0.32)
Both teams to score 45.26% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)59.23% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)79.64% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.22 -0.22)24.85% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (-0.308 -0.31)59.44% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (0.251 0.25)39.78% (-0.25599999999999 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (0.234 0.23)76.45% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 47.84%
    Colombia 24.88%
    Draw 27.27%
MexicoDrawColombia
1-0 @ 13.76% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.88% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 24.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Honduras (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 22 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Germany
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Ghana
Sunday, October 15 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-3 Uzbekistan
Wednesday, September 13 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Australia
Sunday, September 10 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Paraguay 0-1 Colombia
Tuesday, November 21 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Brazil
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, October 18 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 2-2 Uruguay
Thursday, October 12 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

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