SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Colombia |
47.84% ( -0.4) | 27.27% ( 0.08) | 24.88% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 45.26% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.77% ( -0.07) | 59.23% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.35% ( -0.05) | 79.64% ( 0.05) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0.22) | 24.85% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( -0.31) | 59.44% ( 0.3) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% ( 0.25) | 39.78% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.55% ( 0.23) | 76.45% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.84% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 24.88% |
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