SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.71%).
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
58.63% ( 0.06) | 24.06% ( 0.01) | 17.31% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.12% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( -0.14) | 55.48% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( -0.12) | 76.67% ( 0.12) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( -0.03) | 18.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% ( -0.05) | 50.13% ( 0.05) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.3% ( -0.18) | 45.7% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.51% ( -0.14) | 81.48% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.62% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 17.31% |
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