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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
HL

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Hull City

FT(HT: 1-0)
Delap (69'), Tufan (82')
Coyle (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Hull City

Both teams may be somewhat low on confidence following their recent defeats, but they should certainly see Wednesday's meeting as an important one in the playoff fight. Both keen to return to winning ways and particularly to avoid a third straight defeat, we see a draw as the most likely outcome at the Riverside Stadium given their similar quality and recent form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
51.27% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 23.87% (-0.02 -0.02) 24.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (0.088999999999999 0.09)46.09% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (0.084000000000003 0.08)68.39% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.067999999999998 0.07)48.86% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (0.052000000000007 0.05)32.6% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.87% (0.061 0.06)69.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 51.27%
    Hull City 24.86%
    Draw 23.87%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 24.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Leicester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 4-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship


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