Sheffield Wednesday are growing in confidence under Danny Rohl, but we see a Boxing Day trip to Middlesbrough as a step too far and back the hosts to make their superior quality count at the Riverside Stadium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
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