SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Minai had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Minai win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minai | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
32.35% ( -0.13) | 26.1% ( -0.05) | 41.54% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.73% ( 0.17) | 51.26% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% ( 0.15) | 73.1% ( -0.15) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( 0) | 29.73% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% | 65.79% ( -0) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( 0.16) | 24.41% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( 0.23) | 58.83% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minai | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.35% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.54% |
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