Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minai win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minai win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Minai |
33.21% ( 0.28) | 26.54% ( -0.18) | 40.25% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.99% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% ( 0.77) | 52.82% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% ( 0.65) | 74.44% ( -0.65) |
Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.06% ( 0.57) | 29.94% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.95% ( 0.68) | 66.05% ( -0.68) |
Minai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% ( 0.3) | 25.79% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.26% ( 0.4) | 60.73% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Minai |
1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.25% |
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