SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
50.09% ( 0.06) | 22.07% ( -0.02) | 27.84% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.5% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.82% ( 0.06) | 35.18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.81% ( 0.07) | 57.19% ( -0.07) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( 0.04) | 14.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.08) | 42.33% ( -0.08) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( 0.01) | 24.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.85% ( 0.01) | 59.15% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.84% |
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