SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
64.93% ( 0.3) | 19.84% ( -0.14) | 15.23% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.57% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.16% ( 0.29) | 41.83% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.76% ( 0.3) | 64.24% ( -0.3) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( 0.17) | 12.13% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.29% ( 0.36) | 37.71% ( -0.37) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% ( -0.04) | 40.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.19% ( -0.03) | 76.81% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-0 @ 10.84% 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.56% Total : 64.91% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.84% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 15.23% |
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