SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
40.18% ( -0.06) | 24.73% ( 0.01) | 35.09% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.53% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% ( -0.02) | 44.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( -0.02) | 66.94% ( 0.02) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( -0.04) | 22.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( -0.06) | 55.53% ( 0.06) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( 0.02) | 24.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( 0.03) | 59.41% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.09% |
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