SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
39.59% ( 0.36) | 25.47% ( -0.06) | 34.93% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.02% ( 0.21) | 47.97% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( 0.19) | 70.15% ( -0.19) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( 0.28) | 23.94% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( 0.4) | 58.16% ( -0.4) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.08) | 26.51% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( -0.11) | 61.71% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.93% |
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